Best Investment Strategy For 2012 and Beyond
By James Leitz
The best investment strategy for 2012 and beyond will differ
from the popular investment strategy offered by most investment advisers and
financial planners today. The investment landscape has changed. Here's a
strategy for making the best of it.
Up until recent times you could stay out of serious trouble
by simply allocating about half of your investment assets to stocks and the
other half to bonds. That's the traditional investment strategy often
recommended for average investors, and most people deal with it by putting
their money in stock funds and bond funds. Stock funds are the growth half of
the equation and the risky part of the strategy. Bond funds are considered the
relatively safe investment designed to pay higher interest income. Over the
years losses in one fund type were usually offset by good returns in the other.
Welcome to the year 2012, where bonds and bond funds will
likely not be such a safe investment. Stock funds are never safe and 2012 will
be no exception to the rule. Asset allocation will be only half of the story
going forward. Selecting the right funds within each category will be the other
key to success. Let's look at your best investment strategy in both fund
categories, and the reason why certain funds will be your best choices.
Two things stand out about the so-called recovery the USA has supposedly experienced over the past few years.
First, the economy did not
recover as it has in the past after a recession - 9% of the working force is
out of work. This makes for a weak economy and puts pressure on the stock
market and stock funds. That's why you'll need to be careful about which stock
funds you include in your investment portfolio.
Second, interest rates have been driven down to historically
low levels to stimulate the economy in general and the pathetic housing market.
Even with a 4% mortgage rate average folks can not qualify for a mortgage or
afford to buy a house. Today's ridiculously low interest rates mean savers can
not earn a respectable interest income in truly safe investments. It also means
that bond funds could be a trap in 2012 for people who don't really understand
bonds and bond funds. Let's look at the best bond fund strategy first.
Even the best bond funds of the past few years could be big
losers in 2012... if they hold long term bonds in their investment portfolios.
When interest rates turn around and go back up the bonds they hold will lose
significant value because new bonds will become available that pay more
attractive (higher) interest income. Your best investment strategy for bond
funds is to own funds that hold corporate bonds that mature in about 5 years to
7 years. CORPORATE BOND FUNDS pay more interest income than similar funds that
invest primarily in government bonds. Funds that hold bonds maturing in 5 to 7
years (intermediate term bond funds) will be much less affected by rising
interest rates than long term funds holding bonds that mature in 20 years or
more. That's a fact, and that's how bonds work.
Your best investment strategy for stock funds will be to go
with GROWTH AND INCOME funds that invest in high quality companies with a
history of paying 2% or more per year in dividend income. If the stock market
gets truly ugly in 2012 and beyond these funds will be your best bet to
sidestep huge losses. In a bad stock market funds that pay little or nothing in
dividends are usually the big losers.
Sometimes it pays to be aggressive and take on more risk.
The year 2012 looks like a time to get more conservative and live to be a risk
taker another day. Most investors need to hold stock funds and bond funds as
well as truly safe investments like bank CDs. Your best investment strategy for
2012: allocate your investment assets with 40% going to INTERMEDIATE TERM
CORPORATE BOND FUNDS and the same going to high quality GROWTH AND INCOME STOCK
FUNDS paying 2% or more in dividend income. The other 20% of your investment
portfolio goes to safe investments like bank CDs.
Author James Leitz teaches investment basics, stocks, bonds,
mutual funds and how to invest in his investing
guide for beginners called INVEST INFORMED. Put Jim's 40 years of investing
experience to work for you and get up to speed at http://www.investinformed.com. Learn how to invest.
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